Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002419 0.002569 0.002730 0.002915 0.003123 0.003352 0.003625
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002224 0.002435 0.002673 0.002966 0.003320 0.003743 0.004298
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002058 0.002302 0.002590 0.002960 0.003435 0.004044 0.004919
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001912 0.002173 0.002489 0.002912 0.003480 0.004253 0.005457
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001845 0.002130 0.002485 0.002978 0.003676 0.004690 0.006430
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001781 0.002083 0.002469 0.003021 0.003840 0.005107 0.007508
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001695 0.001998 0.002394 0.002974 0.003860 0.005298 0.008247
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001604 0.001903 0.002296 0.002882 0.003800 0.005340 0.008703
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001551 0.001854 0.002259 0.002874 0.003866 0.005613 0.009779
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001453 0.001739 0.002123 0.002708 0.003658 0.005345 0.009445
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001420 0.001711 0.002106 0.002721 0.003747 0.005659 0.010772
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001400 0.001700 0.002113 0.002770 0.003904 0.006139 0.012932
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001359 0.001658 0.002076 0.002751 0.003944 0.006402 0.014723
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001336 0.001642 0.002075 0.002790 0.004099 0.006971 0.018545
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001302 0.001609 0.002047 0.002782 0.004162 0.007344 0.022300
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001262 0.001564 0.002000 0.002737 0.004149 0.007518 0.025427
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001250 0.001560 0.002012 0.002796 0.004353 0.008366 0.037658
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001234 0.001548 0.002014 0.002835 0.004521 0.009196 0.059981
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001200 0.001510 0.001972 0.002792 0.004503 0.009418 0.077940
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001160 0.001461 0.001910 0.002710 0.004389 0.009268 0.084484
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001139 0.001439 0.001889 0.002703 0.004444 0.009762 0.146473
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001088 0.001371 0.001795 0.002554 0.004155 0.008881 0.092432
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001073 0.001358 0.001787 0.002565 0.004247 0.009497 0.196348